By: Justin Sobieralski · 1y

On May 5th, 2025, the NHL held its annual draft lottery, which determined the order of the first 16 picks. The remaining order will be determined by results from Stanley Cup playoffs.
Pre-Draft Order:
Post-Draft Order
New York Islanders fans should be excited beyond belief as they jumped into the number one spot. If you’re a Penguins fan, not so much, as they slid from the projected spot of ninth overall to eleventh.
One thing to keep in mind however—the NHL draft is different from the NFL draft. In the NFL draft, there are many players that can step in and play right away, regardless of what round they’re drafted in. That’s not the same for the NHL. Most of the players entering the NHL draft still need developed in some way, which means it could take years to reach the NHL, if they do at all.
For the Penguins, it really was a worst-case scenario, but it’s not all doom and gloom either. The Penguins original spot was at number 9, but they only had a 5% chance of winning the lottery. Instead, the Penguins drop out of the top 10, falling to pick 11.
Some fans may be wondering how the NHL’s draft lottery works. Well, don’t even bother. Google “Steiner Math” (you don’t have to be a Pro Wrestling Fan to get the joke). Why? Because Steiner math makes more sense than whatever the NHL came up with to figure out where teams are drafting. Leave it to the NHL to “reinvent the wheel”, ultimately making this process as convoluted as possible. Case in point, the current Stanley Cup playoff format. But those are stories for another day.
The 2025 NHL Draft is set to take place from June 27 to 28. The first round will start on Friday, and rounds 2-7 will finish on Saturday, the 28th.
THE WINNERS:
THE LOSERS:
Now that we know where the Penguins are slotted to draft, combined with all of the Penguins’ draft capital over the next three seasons, do not be surprised if Dubas makes a few moves to trade up if he feels there is a can’t-miss prospect.
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About the Author

Justin Sobieralski, a graduate of Duquesne University, has been a sports writer since 2003. During his time, Justin has been a producer, program director, and podcaster, covering the NHL, NFL, MLB, and professional wrestling. He finally found a home with Draft Nation
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